Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Ensenada FC

1 - 4

Leones Negros 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leones Negros 2 in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leones Negros 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Ensenada FC

22%

Draws

60%

Leones Negros 2

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Leones Negros 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Ensenada FC haven't matched Leones Negros 2's recent run of results.
Leones Negros 2 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 4 times recently and Leones Negros 2 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Ensenada FC Clean Sheet 10%

Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ensenada FC	Leones Negros 2
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	10	19
Draws	2	2
Losses	18	13
Goals Scored	1.5	2.13
Goals Conceded	2.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Ensenada FC vs Leones Negros 2

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:4

Oct 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Leones Negros 2 vs Ensenada FC

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Feb 5, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Leones Negros 2 vs Ensenada FC

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Sep 8, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Ensenada FC vs Leones Negros 2

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ensenada FC 18 / 100

Leones Negros 2 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ensenada FC Leones Negros 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Ensenada FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Leones Negros 2 conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Ensenada FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ensenada FC VS Leones Negros 2

1.5 Goals Scored 2.13

2.88 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17