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Entella vs Avellino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Comunale, Chiavari
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Tirelli M.
Assist: Di Mario S.
45'
Enrici P.
57'
Alborghetti M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Entella and Avellino finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Entella
35%
Draws
30%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Avellino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Entella Clean Sheet 18%
Avellino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entella Avellino
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.1 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 Serie B
Entella vs Avellino
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Serie B
Entella vs Avellino
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Serie B
Avellino vs Entella
2:0
May 10, 2025 Super Cup (Serie C)
Entella vs Avellino
1:1
Apr 14, 2018 Serie B
Entella vs Avellino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Tirelli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Adamo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entella 32 / 100
Avellino 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entella Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Entella scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Avellino let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Entella has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Entella VS Avellino
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Entella

(Home)
27 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Avellino
24 Oct
Entella
0 : 1
Mantova
17 Oct
Padova
1 : 2
Entella
10 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
Page 1 of 6

Avellino

(Away)
27 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Avellino
24 Oct
Avellino
0 : 1
Padova
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)