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Entella vs Cesena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Comunale, Chiavari
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Fiori A.
36' Event
Shpendi C.
Assist: Druiventak X.
42' Event
Tiritiello A.
Assist: Vignali L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Entella and Cesena finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cesena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Entella
35%
Draws
32%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Entella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Entella's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Entella Clean Sheet 68%
Cesena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entella Cesena
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 13
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie B
Entella vs Cesena
1:2
Feb 10, 2026 Serie B
Entella vs Cesena
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Entella
1:1
Mar 1, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Cesena vs Entella
4:0
Nov 16, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Entella vs Cesena
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiritiello A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiori A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shpendi C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entella 50 / 100
Cesena 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entella Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Entella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Entella's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cesena conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Entella remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Entella VS Cesena
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Entella

(Home)
31 Oct
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Entella
27 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Avellino
24 Oct
Entella
0 : 1
Mantova
17 Oct
Padova
1 : 2
Entella
10 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

Cesena

(Away)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Cesena
2 : 1
Empoli
24 Oct
Modena
3 : 0
Cesena
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)