Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Entella vs Cesena

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Chiavari
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Francesconi M.
26' Event
Karic N.
46'
Sub
Shpendi C. In: Cerri A.
Out: Shpendi C.

AI Match Summary

Entella in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Entella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Entella
28%
Draws
50%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Entella have won more games recently than Cesena.
  • Win probability leans Cesena's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Entella Clean Sheet 20%
Cesena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entella Cesena
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Serie B
Entella vs Cesena
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Entella
1:1
Mar 1, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Cesena vs Entella
4:0
Nov 16, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Entella vs Cesena
0:1
Aug 6, 2023 Coppa Italia
Cesena vs Entella
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Karic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuppone L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entella 24 / 100
Cesena 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entella Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Entella scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Cesena let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Entella remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Entella VS Cesena
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Entella

(Home)
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
25 Apr
Entella
1 : 0
Padova
19 Apr
Empoli
1 : 1
Entella
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Cesena

(Away)
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
21 Jul
Cesena
5 : 0
SSD Sampierana
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4
Padova
01 May
Carrarese
0 : 0
Cesena
25 Apr
Cesena
0 : 0
Sampdoria
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)