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Stadium Background

Envigado vs Independiente Valle del Cauca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Valencia Mosquera D. A.
30'
Moreyra H.
32' Event
Quejada J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Envigado and Independiente Valle del Cauca finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Envigado
35%
Draws
20%
Independiente Valle del Cauca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Envigado come out ahead of Independiente Valle del Cauca on wins alone.
  • Envigado are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Envigado have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Valle del Cauca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Independiente Valle del Cauca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
2:0
Aug 3, 2026 Primera B
Independiente Valle del Cauca vs Envigado
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia Mosquera D. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quejada J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Independiente Valle del Cauca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 77 / 100
Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Independiente Valle del Cauca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Envigado found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Independiente Valle del Cauca let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Independiente Valle del Cauca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
29 Oct
Envigado
2 : 0
Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 2
Envigado
18 Oct
Envigado
1 : 0
Barranquilla
15 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Real Santander
11 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Inter Palmira
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Independiente Valle del Cauca

(Away)
29 Oct
Envigado
2 : 0
Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Oct
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 0
Independiente Valle del Cauca
20 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
3 : 0
Boca Juniors de Cali
15 Oct
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1
Tigres Futbol Club
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