Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Envigado vs Inter Palmira

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Envigado host Inter Palmira in the Primera B. This one's hard to separate. Envigado have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Inter Palmira's 1.17 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Envigado have won 1 to Inter Palmira's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.00, favoring Inter Palmira. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Envigado
20%
Draws
60%
Inter Palmira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inter Palmira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Inter Palmira have won more games recently than Envigado.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Palmira Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Inter Palmira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Envigado
0:0
May 4, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Inter Palmira
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Envigado
2:1
Sep 17, 2022 Primera A
Envigado vs Inter Palmira
3:2
Mar 23, 2022 Primera A
Inter Palmira vs Envigado
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 41 / 100
Inter Palmira 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Inter Palmira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Inter Palmira let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Inter Palmira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Inter Palmira
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
19 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
2 : 1
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

Inter Palmira

(Away)
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
09 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 1
Atletico F.C.
03 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
29 Aug
Real Santander
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
25 Aug
Inter Palmira
1 : 0
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 8 5 2 1 10:2 17
2 Patriotas 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
3 Real Cundinamarca 8 4 2 2 13:8 14
4 Tigres Futbol Club 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
5 Atletico F.C. 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
6 Cartagena 8 4 1 3 16:10 13
7 Boca Juniors de Cali 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
8 Quindio 8 2 4 2 6:5 10
9 Real Santander 8 2 4 2 11:14 10
10 Leones 9 2 3 4 7:15 9
11 Orsomarso 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
12 Barranquilla 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
13 Bogota 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
14 Inter Palmira 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Union Magdalena 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
16 Envigado 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)