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Envigado vs Inter Palmira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Gonzalez K.
56'
Sub
Valencia Mosquera D. A. In: Rodriguez A.
Out: Valencia Mosquera D. A.
56'
Sub
Norena S. In: Aristizabal J.
Out: Norena S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Envigado
35%
Draws
10%
Inter Palmira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Envigado have won more games recently than Inter Palmira.
  • Model gives Envigado a 55% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Palmira Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Inter Palmira
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.29 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Inter Palmira
1:1
May 11, 2026 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Envigado
0:0
May 4, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Inter Palmira
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Envigado
2:1
Sep 17, 2022 Primera A
Envigado vs Inter Palmira
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Mujica G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Inter Palmira Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 50 / 100
Inter Palmira 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Inter Palmira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Envigado scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Inter Palmira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Inter Palmira
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
02 Nov
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Envigado
29 Oct
Envigado
2 : 0
Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 2
Envigado
18 Oct
Envigado
1 : 0
Barranquilla
15 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Real Santander
Page 1 of 7

Inter Palmira

(Away)
24 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 1
Inter Palmira
19 Oct
Inter Palmira
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
15 Oct
Inter Palmira
1 : 1
Orsomarso
11 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Inter Palmira
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0
Inter Palmira
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 8 4 3 20:9 28
2 Real Cundinamarca 15 8 4 3 20:11 28
3 Tigres Futbol Club 15 6 6 3 16:9 24
4 Quindio 15 6 5 4 14:13 23
5 Cartagena 15 5 6 4 26:18 21
6 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 6 3 6 20:20 21
7 Envigado 15 4 8 3 17:13 20
8 Union Magdalena 15 5 5 5 15:15 20
9 Real Santander 15 4 8 3 17:20 20
10 Bogota 15 4 6 5 11:14 18
11 Atletico F.C. 15 5 3 7 16:21 18
12 Patriotas 15 5 3 7 17:23 18
13 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 11:14 17
14 Inter Palmira 15 4 4 7 11:17 16
15 Barranquilla 15 3 5 7 18:22 14
16 Leones 15 3 5 7 12:22 14
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)