Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Envigado vs Leones - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Palacios D.
25' Event
Acuna S.
36'
Montoya S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Envigado
35%
Draws
20%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Envigado have won more games recently than Leones.
  • Model gives Envigado a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%
Leones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Leones
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.29 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Leones
1:1
Mar 11, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Envigado
0:3
Apr 24, 2019 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Leones
1:1
Mar 13, 2019 Copa Colombia
Leones vs Envigado
0:0
Aug 25, 2018 Primera A
Leones vs Envigado
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Acuna S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Leones Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez Posada I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 95 / 100
Leones 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Leones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Envigado's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Leones has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Leones
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
02 Nov
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Envigado
29 Oct
Envigado
2 : 0
Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 2
Envigado
18 Oct
Envigado
1 : 0
Barranquilla
15 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Real Santander
Page 1 of 7

Leones

(Away)
24 Oct
Leones
1 : 2
Orsomarso
19 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 0
Leones
15 Oct
Leones
1 : 0
Patriotas
11 Oct
Union Magdalena
2 : 2
Leones
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 8 4 3 20:9 28
2 Real Cundinamarca 15 8 4 3 20:11 28
3 Tigres Futbol Club 15 6 6 3 16:9 24
4 Quindio 15 6 5 4 14:13 23
5 Cartagena 15 5 6 4 26:18 21
6 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 6 3 6 20:20 21
7 Envigado 15 4 8 3 17:13 20
8 Union Magdalena 15 5 5 5 15:15 20
9 Real Santander 15 4 8 3 17:20 20
10 Bogota 15 4 6 5 11:14 18
11 Atletico F.C. 15 5 3 7 16:21 18
12 Patriotas 15 5 3 7 17:23 18
13 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 11:14 17
14 Inter Palmira 15 4 4 7 11:17 16
15 Barranquilla 15 3 5 7 18:22 14
16 Leones 15 3 5 7 12:22 14
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)