Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Envigado vs Leones

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Palacios D.
25' Event
Acuna S.
37'
Montoya S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Envigado
35%
Draws
32%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Envigado have won more games recently than Leones.
  • Model gives Envigado a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%
Leones Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Leones
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Leones
1:1
Mar 11, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Envigado
0:3
Apr 24, 2019 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Leones
1:1
Mar 13, 2019 Copa Colombia
Leones vs Envigado
0:0
Aug 25, 2018 Primera A
Leones vs Envigado
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Acuna S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Leones Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez Posada I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 86 / 100
Leones 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Leones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Envigado scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Leones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Leones lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Leones
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
19 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
2 : 1
Envigado
Page 1 of 7

Leones

(Away)
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3
Atletico F.C.
28 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 0
Leones
24 Aug
Leones
1 : 6
Cartagena
20 Aug
Leones
1 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 7 4 2 1 8:2 14
2 Real Cundinamarca 8 4 2 2 13:8 14
3 Patriotas 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Cartagena 8 4 1 3 16:10 13
5 Tigres Futbol Club 7 4 1 2 8:3 13
6 Atletico F.C. 7 3 2 2 10:9 11
7 Quindio 7 2 4 1 5:3 10
8 Real Santander 7 2 4 1 11:12 10
9 Leones 8 2 3 3 6:13 9
10 Orsomarso 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
11 Barranquilla 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
12 Inter Palmira 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
13 Bogota 7 2 1 4 4:8 7
14 Envigado 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
15 Boca Juniors de Cali 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
16 Union Magdalena 7 1 1 5 3:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)