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Stadium Background

Envigado vs Orsomarso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Gonzalez S.
46'
Sub
Cuero M. In: Dawson D.
Out: Cuero M.
46'
Sub
Hernandez J. In: Campaz B.
Out: Hernandez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Envigado
35%
Draws
14%
Orsomarso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Orsomarso haven't matched Envigado's recent run of results.
  • Envigado are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Envigado have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Orsomarso
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.29 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Orsomarso
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Envigado
0:1
May 30, 2025 Copa Colombia
Orsomarso vs Envigado
0:1
Mar 20, 2024 Copa Colombia
Orsomarso vs Envigado
0:1
Mar 5, 2024 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Orsomarso
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 77 / 100
Orsomarso 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Orsomarso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Envigado stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Envigado's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Orsomarso has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Orsomarso has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Orsomarso
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3
Envigado
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
Page 1 of 7

Orsomarso

(Away)
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Quindio
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3
Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
10 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
11 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
12 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
13 Real Santander 11 2 6 3 13:18 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)