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Stadium Background

Envigado vs Union Magdalena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Envigado host Union Magdalena in the Primera B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Union Magdalena have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Envigado have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Envigado have won 1 to Union Magdalena's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.00) point toward Envigado. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Envigado
35%
Draws
31%
Union Magdalena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Envigado have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Union Magdalena are scoring more at 1.14.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Envigado Clean Sheet 20%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Union Magdalena
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 12
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Envigado
1:1
Sep 1, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Union Magdalena
0:1
Apr 9, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Envigado
4:2
Oct 17, 2025 Primera A
Union Magdalena vs Envigado
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Primera A
Envigado vs Union Magdalena
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 31 / 100
Union Magdalena 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Union Magdalena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Envigado found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Union Magdalena conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Envigado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Union Magdalena
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
06 Nov
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 0
Envigado
02 Nov
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Envigado
29 Oct
Envigado
2 : 0
Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 2
Envigado
18 Oct
Envigado
1 : 0
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6

Union Magdalena

(Away)
06 Nov
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
02 Nov
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Envigado
29 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
24 Oct
Union Magdalena
1 : 0
Atletico F.C.
19 Oct
Inter Palmira
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Union Magdalena 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Independiente Valle del Cauca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors de Cali 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Envigado 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Union Magdalena 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Independiente Valle del Cauca 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quindio 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Tigres Futbol Club 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Cartagena 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Real Cundinamarca 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Play Offs)