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Envigado W vs Atl. Nacional W Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Envigado W in this Liga Aguila Women 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Envigado W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Envigado W
15%
Draws
39%
Atl. Nacional W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Envigado W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional W have won more games recently than Envigado W.
  • Model gives Envigado W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Envigado W Clean Sheet 16%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado W Atl. Nacional W
Matches Played 20 37
Wins 14 24
Draws 2 2
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.4 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.55 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2018 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Envigado W
2:1
Mar 3, 2018 Liga Women
Envigado W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado W 75 / 100
Atl. Nacional W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado W Atl. Nacional W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado W scored in 80% of their last 20 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Envigado W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Atl. Nacional W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atl. Nacional W
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado W

(Home)
06 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 1
Envigado W
03 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Envigado W
29 Apr
Cartagena W
0 : 2
Envigado W
18 Mar
Union Magdalena W
1 : 0
Envigado W
14 Mar
Envigado W
5 : 1
Cartagena W
Page 1 of 4

Atl. Nacional W

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huila W 10 8 1 1 22:3 25
2 Deportes Tolima W 10 4 4 2 13:11 16
3 Alianza W 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
4 Cucuta W 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
5 Bucaramanga W 10 2 1 7 7:14 7
6 Real San Andres W 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 8 1 1 37:6 25
2 Patriotas W 10 6 2 2 22:8 20
3 Fortaleza W 10 4 4 2 14:13 16
4 Inter Bogotá W 10 4 3 3 11:10 15
5 Bogota W 10 1 3 6 6:29 6
6 Dep. Pasto W 10 0 1 9 2:26 1
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Cali W 10 7 1 2 26:12 22
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 20:8 20
3 Deportivo Pereira W 10 6 1 3 15:12 19
4 Quindio W 10 3 3 4 21:20 12
5 Orsomarso W 10 3 2 5 14:17 11
6 Atletico F.C. W 10 0 1 9 7:34 1
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 8 6 1 1 16:3 19
2 Union Magdalena W 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Envigado W 8 3 2 3 9:5 11
4 Junior W 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
5 Cartagena W 8 0 0 8 3:29 0
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)