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Epila vs Binefar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Sanz H. G.

AI Match Summary

Epila in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Epila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Epila
20%
Draws
44%
Binefar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Binefar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Epila lately — more wins on the board than Binefar.
  • Win probability leans Epila's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Epila Clean Sheet 68%
Binefar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Epila Binefar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Binefar
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Epila
2:3
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Binefar
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Epila
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Epila
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Epila Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanz H. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Binefar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Epila 59 / 100
Binefar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Epila Binefar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Epila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Epila scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Binefar let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Epila stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Epila VS Binefar
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Epila

(Home)
12 Sept
Epila
0 : 0
Andorra CF
06 Sept
CD Sietamo
0 : 2
Epila
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
10 May
Epila
1 : 1
Zuera
Page 1 of 6

Binefar

(Away)
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0
Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4
Binefar
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3
Binefar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)