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Epila vs Borja

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tapia R.

AI Match Summary

Epila in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Epila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Epila
15%
Draws
0%
Borja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Epila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Epila lately — more wins on the board than Borja.
  • Model gives Epila a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Epila Clean Sheet 68%
Borja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Epila Borja
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 22 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1.19 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.44 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Borja
1:0
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Epila
0:0
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Epila
0:1
Jan 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Borja
1:0
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Borja
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Epila Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapia R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Borja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Epila 95 / 100
Borja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Epila Borja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Epila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borja lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Epila found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (36 games).

Borja let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Epila remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Epila VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Epila

(Home)
20 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Epila
12 Sept
Epila
0 : 0
Andorra CF
06 Sept
CD Sietamo
0 : 2
Epila
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
Page 1 of 8

Borja

(Away)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)