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Epila vs Valdefierro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Epila in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Epila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Epila
15%
Draws
39%
Valdefierro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Epila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Epila lately — more wins on the board than Valdefierro.
  • Epila are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Epila Clean Sheet 20%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Epila Valdefierro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.19 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Valdefierro
1:0
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Epila
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Epila 76 / 100
Valdefierro 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Epila Valdefierro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Epila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valdefierro conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Epila found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Epila has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Epila VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Epila

(Home)
06 Sept
CD Sietamo
0 : 2
Epila
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
10 May
Epila
1 : 1
Zuera
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1
Epila
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Valdefierro

(Away)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
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