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Epitsentr vs Tobol

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Epitsentr and Tobol finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Epitsentr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Epitsentr
15%
Draws
48%
Tobol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tobol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tobol come out ahead of Epitsentr on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Epitsentr Clean Sheet 20%
Tobol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Epitsentr Tobol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Epitsentr vs Tobol
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Epitsentr 36 / 100
Tobol 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Epitsentr Tobol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tobol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tobol conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Epitsentr's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Epitsentr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Epitsentr VS Tobol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Epitsentr

(Home)
19 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg
14 Sept
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0
Epitsentr
09 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
0 : 3
Epitsentr
06 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 0
Bukovyna
29 Aug
Kudrivka
0 : 3
Epitsentr
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Tobol

(Away)
17 Sept
Tobol
0 : 2
Yelimay Semey
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4
Tobol
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0
Tobol
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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