Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Equatorial Guinea U20 vs Togo U20

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2015
Sat, Apr 26, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U20 2015. This has Togo U20 written all over it on paper. Togo U20 have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Equatorial Guinea U20 have conceded 1 and scored 0.25. Past meetings favor Equatorial Guinea U20 slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2014, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 0.94) back Togo U20 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Equatorial Guinea U20
44%
Draws
20%
Togo U20
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Equatorial Guinea U20 haven't matched Togo U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Togo U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Equatorial Guinea U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Togo U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equatorial Guinea U20 Togo U20
Matches Played 2 18
Wins 0 6
Draws 1 3
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 0.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Equatorial Guinea U20 vs Togo U20
0:0
Apr 6, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Togo U20 vs Equatorial Guinea U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equatorial Guinea U20 36 / 100
Togo U20 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equatorial Guinea U20 Togo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Togo U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 18 matches.

Attacking prowess: Equatorial Guinea U20 scored in 50% of their last 2 outings.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Equatorial Guinea U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Equatorial Guinea U20 VS Togo U20
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Equatorial Guinea U20

(Home)
01 May
Gabon U20
1 : 1
Equatorial Guinea U20
18 Apr
Equatorial Guinea U20
0 : 3
Gabon U20

Togo U20

(Away)
19 Jul
Togo U20
2 : 0
Benin U20
17 Jul
Togo U20
0 : 2
Ivory Coast U20
14 Jul
Burkina Faso U20
0 : 1
Togo U20
11 Jul
Niger U20
1 : 0
Togo U20
04 Jul
Benin U20
1 : 1
Togo U20
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Malawi U203
Botswana U202
TBD-
D.R. Congo U20-
Mozambique U204
Namibia U202
TBD-
Zambia U20-
Nigeria U20-
TBD-
Kenya U200
Tanzania U201
Angola U20-
TBD-
Eswatini U202
Lesotho U204
Cameroon U20-
TBD-
Djibouti U201
Burundi U202
Ethiopia U205
Seychelles U200
TBD-
South Africa U20-
Ghana U20-
TBD-
Guinea U200
Sierra Leone U202
Rwanda U20-
South Sudan U20-
TBD-
Gabon U20-
Congo U203
Niger U202
TBD-
Benin U20-
Sudan U205
Somalia U200
TBD-
Egypt U20-
Libya U204
Chad U200
Mauritania U201
Tunisia U206
Liberia U200
Gambia U201
Guinea-Bissau U20-
Ivory Coast U20-
Mali U20-
TBD-
TBD-
Burkina Faso U20-
Morocco U20-
TBD-
Equatorial Guinea U20-
Togo U20-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
Malawi U203
D.R. Congo U201
Mozambique U200
Zambia U204
Nigeria U206
Tanzania U201
Angola U201
Lesotho U204
Cameroon U202
Burundi U201
Ethiopia U200
South Africa U203
Ghana U204
Sierra Leone U201
Rwanda U200
Gabon U201
Congo U204
Benin U203
Sudan U200
Egypt U205
Libya U204
Tunisia U202
Liberia U201
Ivory Coast U202
Mali U203
Burkina Faso U202
Morocco U204
Togo U204
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
Malawi U201
Zambia U203
Nigeria U206
Lesotho U200
Cameroon U202
South Africa U203
Ghana U204
Gabon U201
Congo U203
Egypt U202
Libya U203
Ivory Coast U204
Mali U202
Togo U201
TBD-
TBD-