Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Equatorial Guinea U20 vs Togo U20

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2015
Sat, Apr 26, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U20 2015. This has Equatorial Guinea U20 written all over it on paper. Togo U20 have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Equatorial Guinea U20 have conceded 2 and scored 0.5. Past meetings favor Equatorial Guinea U20 slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2014, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.85 - 0.48) back Equatorial Guinea U20 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Equatorial Guinea U20
25%
Draws
35%
Togo U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Equatorial Guinea U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Equatorial Guinea U20 haven't matched Togo U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Togo U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Equatorial Guinea U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Togo U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equatorial Guinea U20 Togo U20
Matches Played 2 21
Wins 0 6
Draws 1 4
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 0.5 0.81
Goals Conceded 2 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Equatorial Guinea U20 vs Togo U20
0:0
Apr 6, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Togo U20 vs Equatorial Guinea U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equatorial Guinea U20 31 / 100
Togo U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equatorial Guinea U20 Togo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Equatorial Guinea U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Togo U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 21 matches.

Difficult form: Togo U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Equatorial Guinea U20 scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Equatorial Guinea U20 VS Togo U20
0.33 Goals Scored 0.63
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
33% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Equatorial Guinea U20

(Home)
01 May
Gabon U20
1 : 1
Equatorial Guinea U20
18 Apr
Equatorial Guinea U20
0 : 3
Gabon U20

Togo U20

(Away)
02 Aug
Ghana U20
0 : 0
Togo U20
30 Jul
Nigeria U20
3 : 0
Togo U20
27 Jul
Togo U20
1 : 3
Burkina Faso U20
19 Jul
Togo U20
2 : 0
Benin U20
17 Jul
Togo U20
0 : 2
Ivory Coast U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Malawi U20 3
Botswana U20 2
TBD -
D.R. Congo U20 -
Mozambique U20 4
Namibia U20 2
TBD -
Zambia U20 -
Nigeria U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 0
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 2
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Djibouti U20 1
Burundi U20 2
Ethiopia U20 5
Seychelles U20 0
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Guinea U20 0
Sierra Leone U20 2
Rwanda U20 -
South Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Gabon U20 -
Congo U20 3
Niger U20 2
TBD -
Benin U20 -
Sudan U20 5
Somalia U20 0
TBD -
Egypt U20 -
Libya U20 4
Chad U20 0
Mauritania U20 1
Tunisia U20 6
Liberia U20 0
Gambia U20 1
Guinea-Bissau U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
Mali U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U20 -
Morocco U20 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U20 -
Togo U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Malawi U20 3
D.R. Congo U20 1
Mozambique U20 0
Zambia U20 4
Nigeria U20 6
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 1
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 2
Burundi U20 1
Ethiopia U20 0
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 1
Rwanda U20 0
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 4
Benin U20 3
Sudan U20 0
Egypt U20 5
Libya U20 4
Tunisia U20 2
Liberia U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Mali U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 2
Morocco U20 4
Togo U20 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Malawi U20 1
Zambia U20 3
Nigeria U20 6
Lesotho U20 0
Cameroon U20 2
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 3
Egypt U20 2
Libya U20 3
Ivory Coast U20 4
Mali U20 2
Togo U20 1
TBD -
TBD -