Sport Picks
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo, Yaoundé 
Match Events
1'
1'
Zuniga L.
27'
27'
Bah Kamara S.
61'
61'
Sub
Kamara M. In: Koroma J.
Out: Kamara M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sierra Leone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Equatorial Guinea lately — more wins on the board than Sierra Leone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Equatorial Guinea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Equatorial Guinea, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Equatorial Guinea Clean Sheet 68%
Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Equatorial Guinea | Sierra Leone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 20, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Sierra Leone vs Equatorial Guinea
0:1
Sep 7, 2013 World Championship
Sierra Leone vs Equatorial Guinea
3:2
Jun 9, 2012 World Championship
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone
2:2
Sep 6, 2008 World Championship
Sierra Leone vs Equatorial Guinea
2:1
Jun 1, 2008 World Championship
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Equatorial Guinea Compare
Top Goalscorer Zuniga L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Sierra Leone Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Equatorial Guinea 41 / 100
Sierra Leone 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Equatorial Guinea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sierra Leone let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Sierra Leone's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Equatorial Guinea's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Equatorial Guinea VS Sierra Leone
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Equatorial Guinea
(Home) 24 Sept
D.R. Congo
2 : 0 Equatorial Guinea
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1 Comoros
31 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1 Madagascar
25 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 1 Equatorial Guinea
31 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 3 Algeria
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1 Comoros
31 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1 Madagascar
31 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 3 Algeria
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1 Sudan
13 Oct
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1 Liberia
Page 1 of 3
Sierra Leone
(Away) 24 Sept
Sierra Leone
2 : 3 Zimbabwe
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1 Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0 Liberia
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1 Sierra Leone
12 Oct
Djibouti
1 : 2 Sierra Leone
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1 Sierra Leone
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1 Sierra Leone
12 Oct
Djibouti
1 : 2 Sierra Leone
04 Sept
Guinea Bissau
1 : 1 Sierra Leone
25 Mar
Egypt
1 : 0 Sierra Leone
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Niger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lesotho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Gabon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malawi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Egypt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Gambia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Somalia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Ghana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Eritrea | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Kenya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D.R. Congo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mauritania | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Benin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Central Africa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Namibia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Congo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Comoros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botswana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 2 | Uganda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Libya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Togo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Burundi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Zambia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Senegal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rwanda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Mali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 4 | Liberia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guinea Bissau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Madagascar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)
