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Equatorial Guinea W vs Burkina Faso W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Burkina Faso W have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Equatorial Guinea W have conceded 2.13 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Equatorial Guinea W have won 0 to Burkina Faso W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.15 - 1.45) back Burkina Faso W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Equatorial Guinea W
20%
Draws
51%
Burkina Faso W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burkina Faso W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Equatorial Guinea W haven't matched Burkina Faso W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Burkina Faso W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Equatorial Guinea W Clean Sheet 16%
Burkina Faso W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equatorial Guinea W Burkina Faso W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Olympic Games Women
Burkina Faso W vs Equatorial Guinea W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equatorial Guinea W 31 / 100
Burkina Faso W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equatorial Guinea W Burkina Faso W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burkina Faso W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Equatorial Guinea W scored in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Burkina Faso W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Equatorial Guinea W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Equatorial Guinea W VS Burkina Faso W
0.8 Goals Scored 1.5
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Equatorial Guinea W

(Home)
08 Oct
Burkina Faso W
3 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
08 Jun
Equatorial Guinea W
1 : 3
Haiti W
04 Jun
Almeria W
0 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
26 Feb
Equatorial Guinea W
1 : 1
Tanzania W
20 Feb
Tanzania W
3 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
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Burkina Faso W

(Away)
08 Oct
Burkina Faso W
3 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1
South Africa W
31 Jul
Burkina Faso W
2 : 1
Tanzania W
27 Jul
Ivory Coast W
4 : 1
Burkina Faso W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tunisia W -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal W -
Benin W -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali W -
Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
Sudan W 0
Comoros W 30
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W -
TBD -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Rwanda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia W -
Botswana W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
TBD -
TBD -
Namibia W -
South Sudan W 1
Madagascar W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W -
TBD -
TBD -
Kenya W -
Malawi W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbabwe W -
Uganda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Mauritius W 3
Djibouti W 1
TBD -
Ghana W -
1/8-finals
Tunisia W 0
Senegal W 1
Benin W 3
Mali W 1
Congo W -
Morocco W -
Comoros W 0
Nigeria W 2
Guinea W -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W 1
Ivory Coast W 4
Central Africa W 0
Algeria W 8
Burkina Faso W 3
Equatorial Guinea W 1
Rwanda W 0
Ethiopia W 1
Botswana W 0
Tanzania W 1
Angola W 0
Namibia W 0
Madagascar W 0
South Africa W 4
Seychelles W 0
Kenya W 11
Malawi W 2
Zimbabwe W 0
Uganda W 2
Zambia W 1
Mauritius W 0
Ghana W 3
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -