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Equatorial Guinea W vs Mali W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2008
Equatorial Guinea W Logo

Equatorial Guinea W

2 - 1
FT
Mali W Logo

Mali W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Equatorial Guinea W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Equatorial Guinea W
30%
Draws
39%
Mali W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Equatorial Guinea W haven't matched Mali W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Mali W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Equatorial Guinea W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Equatorial Guinea W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Equatorial Guinea W Clean Sheet 19%
Mali W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equatorial Guinea W Mali W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.91
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Equatorial Guinea W vs Mali W
2:1
Apr 6, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Equatorial Guinea W
1:1
Nov 21, 2008 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Equatorial Guinea W vs Mali W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equatorial Guinea W 36 / 100
Mali W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equatorial Guinea W Mali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Equatorial Guinea W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Mali W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Equatorial Guinea W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Equatorial Guinea W VS Mali W
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Equatorial Guinea W

(Home)
08 Jun
Equatorial Guinea W
1 : 3
Haiti W
04 Jun
Almeria W
0 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
26 Feb
Equatorial Guinea W
1 : 1
Tanzania W
20 Feb
Tanzania W
3 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
05 Dec
D.R. Congo W
2 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
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Mali W

(Away)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Equatorial Guinea W 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 Cameroon W 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Congo W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Mali W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2008 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
2 Nigeria W 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Tunisia W 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2008 (Play Offs)