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Equity Bank vs Kibera

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Equity Bank in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Equity Bank.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Equity Bank
6%
Draws
4%
Kibera
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Equity Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Equity Bank lately — more wins on the board than Kibera.
  • Win probability leans Equity Bank's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Equity Bank Clean Sheet 68%
Kibera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equity Bank Kibera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Super League
Equity Bank vs Kibera
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Kibera vs Equity Bank
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equity Bank 95 / 100
Kibera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equity Bank Kibera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EQU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Equity Bank found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Kibera let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Equity Bank went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Equity Bank VS Kibera
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Equity Bank

(Home)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
Page 1 of 6

Kibera

(Away)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
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