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Equity Bank vs Kibera

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Equity Bank Logo

Equity Bank

2 - 1
FT
Kibera Logo

Kibera

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Equity Bank in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Equity Bank.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Equity Bank
30%
Draws
12%
Kibera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Equity Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Equity Bank lately — more wins on the board than Kibera.
  • Win probability leans Equity Bank's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Equity Bank Clean Sheet 68%
Kibera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equity Bank Kibera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.53 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Super League
Equity Bank vs Kibera
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Kibera vs Equity Bank
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equity Bank 95 / 100
Kibera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equity Bank Kibera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Equity Bank Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Equity Bank found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Kibera let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Equity Bank went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Equity Bank VS Kibera
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Equity Bank

(Home)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
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Kibera

(Away)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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