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Equity Bank vs MOFA

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Equity Bank
35%
Draws
19%
MOFA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Equity Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Equity Bank lately — more wins on the board than MOFA.
  • Model gives Equity Bank a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Equity Bank Clean Sheet 19%
MOFA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equity Bank MOFA
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 13
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Super League
Equity Bank vs MOFA
0:0
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
MOFA vs Equity Bank
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equity Bank 76 / 100
MOFA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equity Bank MOFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EQU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Equity Bank scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

MOFA has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Equity Bank went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Equity Bank VS MOFA
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Equity Bank

(Home)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
Page 1 of 7

MOFA

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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