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Erakor Golden Star vs Tefana Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kaltack T.
27'
Kaltack B.
28' Event
Tinorua T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2017 game between Erakor Golden Star and Tefana finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tefana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Erakor Golden Star
35%
Draws
24%
Tefana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Erakor Golden Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Erakor Golden Star haven't matched Tefana's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Erakor Golden Star taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Erakor Golden Star Clean Sheet 13%
Tefana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erakor Golden Star Tefana
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 2 6
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.67 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2017 OFC Champions League
Erakor Golden Star vs Tefana
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erakor Golden Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltack T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Tefana Compare

Top Goalscorer Graglia S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viritua T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erakor Golden Star 66 / 100
Tefana 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erakor Golden Star Tefana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erakor Golden Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Erakor Golden Star scored in 89% of their last 9 outings.

Tefana has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Erakor Golden Star stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erakor Golden Star VS Tefana
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erakor Golden Star

(Home)
01 Mar
Erakor Golden Star
0 : 3
Team Wellington
26 Feb
Erakor Golden Star
1 : 1
Ba
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
18 Feb
Lossi
2 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
15 Feb
Erakor Golden Star
3 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 2

Tefana

(Away)
16 Mar
Tefana
1 : 2
Pirae
13 Mar
Pirae
1 : 1
Tefana
16 Feb
Tefana
3 : 3
Malampa Revivors
13 Feb
Hienghene Sport
1 : 0
Tefana
10 Feb
Lae City
3 : 3
Tefana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 3 3 0 0 11:3 9
2 Central Sport 3 2 0 1 12:7 6
3 Madang Fox 3 1 0 2 7:15 3
4 PNG Hekari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 15:2 9
2 Hienghene Sport 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Ba 3 1 1 1 2:9 4
4 Puaikura 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 15:1 9
2 Western United 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Lae City 3 1 0 2 8:9 3
4 Malampa Revivors 3 0 0 3 3:18 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tefana 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Marist 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Rewa 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)