Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2020/2021

Golcukspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erbaaspor play Golcukspor in the 3. Lig Group 3 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Erbaaspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Golcukspor averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Erbaaspor won 2, Golcukspor won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 17, 2021 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Erbaaspor and 1.13 for Golcukspor. This points to a Erbaaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Erbaaspor

15%

Draws

34%

Golcukspor

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erbaaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Erbaaspor picked up more points recently compared to Golcukspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 21%

Golcukspor Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Erbaaspor	Golcukspor
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	10	9
Draws	5	4
Losses	17	17
Goals Scored	1.03	1
Goals Conceded	1.66	1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2021 3. Lig Group 3

Erbaaspor vs Golcukspor

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Nov 15, 2020 3. Lig Group 3

Golcukspor vs Erbaaspor

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yagci Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Golcukspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbaaspor 50 / 100

Golcukspor 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Erbaaspor Golcukspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Erbaaspor or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Erbaaspor attacking → ← attacking Golcukspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erbaaspor scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Golcukspor let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Erbaaspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Golcukspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 31

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Soma Spor	32	20	9	3	64:30	69
2	Erokspor	32	19	7	6	59:27	64
3	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	32	14	10	8	42:32	52
4	Isparta 32 Spor	32	14	8	10	49:35	50
5	Catalca Spor	32	13	10	9	35:31	49
6	Carsambaspor	32	12	11	9	40:29	47
7	Karsiyaka	32	12	8	12	36:39	44
8	Hacettepe 1945	32	11	10	11	36:34	43
9	Sile Yildizspor	32	11	10	11	38:39	43
10	23 Elazig FK	32	9	14	9	37:39	41
11	Osmaniyespor	32	12	8	12	35:32	41
12	Erbaaspor	32	11	7	14	29:35	40
13	Batman Petrolspor	32	9	12	11	24:30	39
14	Cizrespor	32	6	14	12	30:55	32
15	Golcukspor	32	8	5	19	27:42	29
16	Arhavispor	32	6	9	17	23:49	27
17	Yalovaspor	32	4	10	18	26:52	22