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Erbaaspor vs Musspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Yavuz I.
19' Event
Aynaoglu O.
22' Event
Asliyuksek E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group game between Erbaaspor and Musspor finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Erbaaspor
20%
Draws
47%
Musspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Musspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Musspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Musspor a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 10%
Musspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erbaaspor Musspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.03 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Erbaaspor vs Musspor
4:4
May 26, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Erbaaspor vs Musspor
2:1
Mar 12, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Musspor vs Erbaaspor
0:1
Oct 9, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Erbaaspor vs Musspor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Dogan M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aynaoglu O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Musspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yavuz I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dere A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbaaspor 10 / 100
Musspor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erbaaspor Musspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Musspor conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Erbaaspor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Erbaaspor found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Erbaaspor VS Musspor
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erbaaspor

(Home)
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
06 Sept
Erbaaspor
4 : 4
Musspor
25 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
Page 1 of 6

Musspor

(Away)
27 Sept
Musspor
3 : 2
Aksaray Bld.
20 Sept
Soma Spor
1 : 3
Musspor
13 Sept
Musspor
4 : 0
Menemenspor
06 Sept
Erbaaspor
4 : 4
Musspor
09 May
Mardin 1969
2 : 1
Musspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elazigspor 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 Musspor 4 3 1 0 14:7 10
3 Aliaga 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
4 Guzide Gebzespor 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Corluspor 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
6 Erbaaspor 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
7 Inegol Kafkas 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
8 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
9 Menemenspor 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
10 Aksaray Bld. 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
11 Sanliurfaspor 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
12 Isparta 32 Spor 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
13 Ankaraspor 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
14 Sebat Spor Kulubu 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
15 Arnavutkoy Bl. 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
16 Kastamonuspor 4 1 0 3 2:12 0
17 Hatayspor 4 1 1 2 2:3 -2
18 Adanademirspor 4 1 1 2 3:7 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)