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Erbaaspor vs Sivas Dort

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Dogan A.
70' Event
Tosun M.
85' Event
Calisir T.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024 game between Erbaaspor and Sivas Dort finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erbaaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Erbaaspor
20%
Draws
10%
Sivas Dort
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erbaaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Erbaaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Erbaaspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Sivas Dort Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erbaaspor Sivas Dort
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.4 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Erbaaspor vs Sivas Dort
2:1
Oct 15, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Sivas Dort vs Erbaaspor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Dogan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tosun M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sivas Dort Compare

Top Goalscorer Calisir T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbaaspor 85 / 100
Sivas Dort 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erbaaspor Sivas Dort

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erbaaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Erbaaspor scored in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Sivas Dort let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Erbaaspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erbaaspor VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erbaaspor

(Home)
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
06 Sept
Erbaaspor
4 : 4
Musspor
25 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
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Sivas Dort

(Away)
27 Apr
Sivas Dort
1 : 1
Karakopru
21 Apr
Bayburt Ozel Idare
2 : 1
Sivas Dort
14 Apr
Sivas Dort
0 : 2
1922 Konyaspor
07 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 0
Sivas Dort
03 Apr
Sivas Dort
1 : 3
Kutahyaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karakopru 28 17 9 2 51:24 60
2 Erbaaspor 28 16 9 3 55:21 57
3 Silivrispor 28 14 9 5 38:22 51
4 Bornova 1877 28 15 5 8 47:33 50
5 Kusadasispor 28 12 9 7 36:28 45
6 Kutahyaspor 28 11 11 6 40:25 44
7 Tepecik 28 10 9 9 29:30 39
8 Agri 1970 28 10 9 9 36:35 39
9 Fatsa Bld. 28 9 10 9 24:27 37
10 Osmaniyespor 28 8 5 15 29:34 29
11 1922 Konyaspor 28 7 7 14 25:30 28
12 Bayburt Ozel Idare 28 6 10 12 18:38 28
13 Darica Genclerbirligi 28 6 7 15 18:33 25
14 Akhisarspor 28 5 4 19 25:67 19
15 Sivas Dort 28 5 5 18 22:46 17
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)