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Erciyes 38 vs Adanaspor AS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erciyes 38 host Adanaspor AS in the 3. Lig Group 3. Erciyes 38 are expected to control this from the start. Erciyes 38 have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.09 conceded recently, against Adanaspor AS's 0.37 scored and 4.41 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.44 - 0.63) back Erciyes 38 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Erciyes 38
15%
Draws
16%
Adanaspor AS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Erciyes 38 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Erciyes 38 a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 20%
Adanaspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erciyes 38 Adanaspor AS
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 16 2
Draws 9 0
Losses 7 25
Goals Scored 1.53 0.37
Goals Conceded 1.09 4.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erciyes 38 85 / 100
Adanaspor AS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erciyes 38 Adanaspor AS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adanaspor AS has conceded goals in 96% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: Erciyes 38 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Erciyes 38 scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Difficult form: Adanaspor AS registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erciyes 38 VS Adanaspor AS
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erciyes 38

(Home)
08 Oct
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Kahta
03 Oct
Osmaniyespor
2 : 4
Erciyes 38
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Page 1 of 7

Adanaspor AS

(Away)
07 Oct
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Adana Adaletgucu
03 Oct
Adanaspor AS
1 : 2
Mazidagi
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
20 Sept
Adanaspor AS
1 : 3
Karakopru
16 Sept
Adanaspor AS
:
Yeni Malatyaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)