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Erciyes 38 vs Kirikkale FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Isler I.
50' Event
Akcakin A.
Assist: Tosun M.
66' Event
Krohn C.
Assist: Tuncay B.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 game between Erciyes 38 and Kirikkale FK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erciyes 38.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Erciyes 38
20%
Draws
19%
Kirikkale FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Erciyes 38 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Erciyes 38 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 20%
Kirikkale FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erciyes 38 Kirikkale FK
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Erciyes 38 vs Kirikkale FK
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Kirikkale FK
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Kirikkale FK vs Erciyes 38
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Kirikkale FK vs Erciyes 38
2:0
Dec 15, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Erciyes 38 vs Kirikkale FK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Isler I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akcakin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kirikkale FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Krohn C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erciyes 38 85 / 100
Kirikkale FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erciyes 38 Kirikkale FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Erciyes 38 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Erciyes 38 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Kirikkale FK let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Erciyes 38 VS Kirikkale FK
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erciyes 38

(Home)
08 Oct
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Kahta
03 Oct
Osmaniyespor
2 : 4
Erciyes 38
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
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Kirikkale FK

(Away)
03 Oct
Kirikkale FK
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
20 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 0
Mazidagi
16 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 3
Kirsehir SK
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)