Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erciyes 38 vs Nigde

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Yasak C.
Assist: Akcakin A.
20' Event
Demirel O.
Assist: Kayanoz E. K.
45' Event
Kayanoz E. K.
Assist: Uslu F.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 game between Erciyes 38 and Nigde finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erciyes 38.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Erciyes 38
15%
Draws
40%
Nigde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Erciyes 38 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Erciyes 38 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 19%
Nigde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erciyes 38 Nigde
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Nigde
3:2
Dec 20, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Nigde vs Erciyes 38
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Erciyes 38 vs Nigde
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Nigde vs Erciyes 38
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasak C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekici H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nigde Compare

Top Goalscorer Demirel O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayanoz E. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erciyes 38 36 / 100
Nigde 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erciyes 38 Nigde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erciyes 38's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Nigde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Erciyes 38 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Erciyes 38 VS Nigde
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erciyes 38

(Home)
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
06 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Erciyes 38
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Apr
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Mazidagi
Page 1 of 7

Nigde

(Away)
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Nigde
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
12 Apr
Nigde
0 : 1
Mazidagi
05 Apr
Kirsehir SK
2 : 4
Nigde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 Bingol Spor 30 17 9 4 60:28 60
2 Erciyes 38 30 13 10 7 42:31 49
3 Silifke 30 12 12 6 41:26 48
4 Malatya 30 13 8 9 45:35 47
5 Mazidagi 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Agri 1970 30 12 9 9 57:33 45
7 Karakopru 30 12 8 10 38:42 44
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42:40 42
9 Nigde 30 11 8 11 44:36 41
10 Kirikkale FK 30 11 7 12 39:51 40
11 Kirsehir SK 30 7 13 10 37:38 34
12 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 8 10 12 33:42 34
13 Kahramanmarasspor 30 7 11 12 35:48 32
14 Kilis Bld. 30 8 6 16 25:53 30
15 Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 29:47 28
16 Turk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 30:55 20
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)