Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erciyes 38 vs Osmaniyespor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kunduzcu U. B.
Assist: Yasak C.
31' Event
Yigit S.
Assist: Ekici H.
33' Event
Yigit S.
Assist: Malatyali A. K.

AI Match Summary

Erciyes 38 in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erciyes 38.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Erciyes 38
17%
Draws
13%
Osmaniyespor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Osmaniyespor at 1.88 per game, Erciyes 38 at 1.75.
  • Model gives Erciyes 38 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 68%
Osmaniyespor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erciyes 38 Osmaniyespor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Osmaniyespor
5:0
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Osmaniyespor vs Erciyes 38
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yigit S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akcakin A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Osmaniyespor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erciyes 38 77 / 100
Osmaniyespor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erciyes 38 Osmaniyespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Erciyes 38's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Osmaniyespor let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Erciyes 38 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erciyes 38 VS Osmaniyespor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erciyes 38

(Home)
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Apr
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Mazidagi
23 Apr
Mazidagi
1 : 1
Erciyes 38
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
Page 1 of 7

Osmaniyespor

(Away)
18 Apr
Kirsehir SK
0 : 2
Osmaniyespor
12 Apr
Osmaniyespor
1 : 2
12 Bingol Spor
05 Apr
Kirikkale FK
3 : 1
Osmaniyespor
28 Mar
Osmaniyespor
3 : 3
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
24 Mar
Malatya
3 : 2
Osmaniyespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 Bingol Spor30179460:2860
2Erciyes 38301310742:3149
3Silifke301212641:2648
4Malatya30138945:3547
5Mazidagi301211732:2447
6Agri 197030129957:3345
7Karakopru301281038:4244
8Osmaniyespor301261242:4042
9Nigde301181144:3641
10Kirikkale FK301171239:5140
11Kirsehir SK307131037:3834
12Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)308101233:4234
13Kahramanmarasspor307111235:4832
14Kilis Bld.30861625:5330
15Suvermez Kapadokyaspor305131229:4728
16Turk Metal 1963304111530:5520
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)