Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erciyes 38 vs Yeni Malatyaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
3 - 0
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erciyes 38 host Yeni Malatyaspor in the 3. Lig Group 3. This has Erciyes 38 written all over it on paper. Erciyes 38 have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.16 conceded recently, against Yeni Malatyaspor's 0 scored and 2.8 conceded. Head-to-head, Erciyes 38 have won 1 to Yeni Malatyaspor's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 24, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 0.81, favoring Erciyes 38. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Erciyes 38
15%
Draws
0%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erciyes 38 lately — more wins on the board than Yeni Malatyaspor.
  • Model gives Erciyes 38 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 20%
Yeni Malatyaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erciyes 38 Yeni Malatyaspor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 7 30
Goals Scored 1.68 0
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Erciyes 38 vs Yeni Malatyaspor
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erciyes 38 85 / 100
Yeni Malatyaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erciyes 38 Yeni Malatyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Yeni Malatyaspor conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Yeni Malatyaspor has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Erciyes 38 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Erciyes 38 VS Yeni Malatyaspor
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erciyes 38

(Home)
01 Nov
Bitlis 1916
4 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Oct
Elazigspor
0 : 2
Erciyes 38
24 Oct
Erciyes 38
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
18 Oct
Yozgat
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
11 Oct
Erciyes 38
6 : 1
Adanaspor AS
Page 1 of 7

Yeni Malatyaspor

(Away)
01 Nov
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
24 Oct
Erciyes 38
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
17 Oct
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Mazidagi
11 Oct
Malatya
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
03 Oct
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Karakopru
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 9 8 1 0 36:4 25
2 Karakopru 9 7 1 1 24:8 22
3 Nigde 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
4 Kirsehir SK 9 6 2 1 27:9 20
5 Bitlis 1916 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
6 Erciyes 38 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
7 Mazidagi 9 5 4 0 17:5 19
8 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 9 5 0 4 13:10 15
9 Kirikkale FK 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
10 Osmaniyespor 9 4 0 5 14:18 12
11 Adana Adaletgucu 9 3 0 6 13:17 9
12 Agri 1970 9 2 2 5 7:12 8
13 Silifke 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
14 Yozgat 9 2 2 5 5:20 8
15 Karaman FK 9 2 0 7 7:28 6
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 9 1 1 7 7:15 4
17 Adanaspor AS 9 0 1 8 6:33 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 9 0 0 9 0:27 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)