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Erdi vs Balatonlelle

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Karasz K.
21' Event
Ban G.
28' Event
Sipaki P.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Erdi and Balatonlelle finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erdi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Erdi
35%
Draws
28%
Balatonlelle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erdi come out ahead of Balatonlelle on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Erdi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Erdi here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Erdi Clean Sheet 19%
Balatonlelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Balatonlelle
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Balatonlelle
3:2
Oct 19, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Balatonlelle vs Erdi
0:1
May 24, 2020 NB III - West
Erdi vs Balatonlelle
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 NB III - West
Balatonlelle vs Erdi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Karasz K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rostas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Balatonlelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Ban G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sipaki P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 85 / 100
Balatonlelle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Balatonlelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erdi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erdi scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Balatonlelle has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Erdi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Balatonlelle
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
15 Aug
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 1
Erdi
08 Aug
Erdi
3 : 1
Paks II
25 Jul
Erdi
3 : 3
Budaorsi SC
11 Jul
Bicskei
1 : 3
Erdi
24 May
Majosi
3 : 3
Erdi
Page 1 of 6

Balatonlelle

(Away)
24 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 3
Ivancsa
17 May
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Balatonlelle
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
02 May
Erdi
3 : 2
Balatonlelle
26 Apr
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Paks II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)