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Erdi vs Dunaujvaros

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Szepessy R.
16' Event
Csepregi B.
18' Event
Szepessy R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Erdi and Dunaujvaros finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Erdi
6%
Draws
4%
Dunaujvaros
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erdi come out ahead of Dunaujvaros on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Erdi taking it.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Erdi Clean Sheet 18%
Dunaujvaros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Dunaujvaros
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Dunaujvaros
3:3
Aug 10, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Dunaujvaros vs Erdi
2:2
May 12, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Dunaujvaros vs Erdi
2:1
Oct 29, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Dunaujvaros
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Csepregi B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farkas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dunaujvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Szepessy R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Menzhelieiev Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 85 / 100
Dunaujvaros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Dunaujvaros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erdi's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Erdi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dunaujvaros let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Dunaujvaros
2 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
25 Jul
Erdi
3 : 3
Budaorsi SC
11 Jul
Bicskei
1 : 3
Erdi
24 May
Majosi
3 : 3
Erdi
17 May
Erdi
2 : 1
Kaposvar
10 May
Siofok
1 : 2
Erdi
Page 1 of 6

Dunaujvaros

(Away)
25 Jul
Ferencvaros II
3 : 0
Dunaujvaros
24 May
Dunaujvaros
2 : 3
Ferencvaros II
17 May
MTK Budapest II
2 : 0
Dunaujvaros
10 May
Pecsi MFC
2 : 0
Dunaujvaros
03 May
Dunaujvaros
3 : 1
Szekszardi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)