Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erdi vs Ferencvaros II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Olalekan I. A.
28' Event
Serdiukov O.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Gyuracz A.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Erdi and Ferencvaros II finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Erdi
30%
Draws
37%
Ferencvaros II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferencvaros II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferencvaros II come out ahead of Erdi on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Erdi Clean Sheet 10%
Ferencvaros II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Ferencvaros II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.93 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Ferencvaros II
3:3
Mar 8, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Erdi
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Ferencvaros II
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Erdi
3:0
Oct 1, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Ferencvaros II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyuracz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciaramella G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ferencvaros II Compare

Top Goalscorer Olalekan I. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serdiukov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 30 / 100
Ferencvaros II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Ferencvaros II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erdi's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ferencvaros II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Erdi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Ferencvaros II
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
Page 1 of 6

Ferencvaros II

(Away)
10 Oct
PTE-PEAC
1 : 4
Ferencvaros II
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 10 6 1 3 24:14 19
3 Ferencvaros II 10 5 3 2 23:14 18
4 Budafoki MTE 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
5 Dunaharaszti MTK 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
6 PTE-PEAC 10 4 4 2 16:13 16
7 Ivancsa 10 5 0 5 21:21 15
8 Majosi 10 4 3 3 21:21 15
9 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
13 Paks II 11 1 4 6 20:24 7
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 10 0 0 10 5:42 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)