Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erdi vs Pecsi MFC

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Avramucz D.
27' Event
Okorie D.
86' Event
Harsanyi D.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Erdi and Pecsi MFC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pecsi MFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Erdi
15%
Draws
67%
Pecsi MFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pecsi MFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pecsi MFC come out ahead of Erdi on wins alone.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Pecsi MFC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pecsi MFC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Erdi Clean Sheet 10%
Pecsi MFC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Pecsi MFC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 23
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.97 2.71
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Pecsi MFC
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Pecsi MFC vs Erdi
7:2
Aug 6, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Pecsi MFC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Avramucz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pecsi MFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Okorie D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harsanyi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 10 / 100
Pecsi MFC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Pecsi MFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pecsi MFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erdi found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Pecsi MFC conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Erdi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Pecsi MFC
2 Goals Scored 3.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
26 Aug
Erdi
1 : 2
Pecsi MFC
21 Aug
Erdi
0 : 3
Ivancsa
Page 1 of 6

Pecsi MFC

(Away)
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
12 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 2
Tiszakecske
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
30 Aug
Pecsi MFC
7 : 0
Ivancsa
26 Aug
Erdi
1 : 2
Pecsi MFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 8 8 0 0 27:2 24
2 Budafoki MTE 7 5 1 1 14:6 16
3 Kaposvar 7 5 0 2 20:9 15
4 PTE-PEAC 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
5 Majosi 8 4 1 3 17:17 13
6 MTK Budapest II 7 4 0 3 21:12 12
7 Ferencvaros II 7 3 2 2 15:11 11
8 Siofok 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
9 Budaorsi SC 8 3 1 4 15:25 10
10 Ivancsa 7 3 0 4 13:18 9
11 Erdi 7 2 3 2 17:16 9
12 Dunaharaszti MTK 8 2 2 4 11:16 8
13 Sarbogard 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
14 Paks II 8 0 3 5 10:19 3
15 Szekszardi 8 0 0 8 3:30 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)