Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erdi vs Sarbogard

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Erdi Logo

Erdi

4 - 3
FT
Sarbogard Logo

Sarbogard

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Farkas B.
14' Event
Farkas B.
27' Event
Csoma-Laszlo B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Erdi and Sarbogard finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erdi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Erdi
20%
Draws
29%
Sarbogard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erdi come out ahead of Sarbogard on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Erdi's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Erdi Clean Sheet 16%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Sarbogard
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Sarbogard
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Farkas B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Szikora T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Sarbogard Compare

Top Goalscorer Csoma-Laszlo B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kiss P. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 48 / 100
Sarbogard 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Sarbogard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erdi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Erdi scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Sarbogard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Erdi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Sarbogard
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
Page 1 of 6

Sarbogard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)