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Erdi vs Siofok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erdi host Siofok in the NB III - Southwest. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Erdi at 1.9 goals for, 1.97 against; Siofok at 1.86 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Erdi slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.50 - 2.13) back Erdi to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Erdi
15%
Draws
48%
Siofok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siofok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Erdi's 1.9 goals per match outpaces what Siofok have produced (1.86).
  • Siofok are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Erdi Clean Sheet 10%
Siofok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Siofok
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Siofok vs Erdi
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Siofok
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 18 / 100
Siofok 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Siofok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siofok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erdi found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Siofok has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Erdi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Siofok
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
11 Oct
MTK Budapest II
3 : 1
Erdi
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
Page 1 of 6

Siofok

(Away)
11 Oct
Siofok
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
03 Oct
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 1
Siofok
27 Sept
Siofok
3 : 1
Paks II
05 Sept
Siofok
4 : 1
Budaorsi SC
29 Aug
Szekszardi
1 : 3
Siofok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 10 6 1 3 24:14 19
3 Ferencvaros II 10 5 3 2 23:14 18
4 Budafoki MTE 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
5 Dunaharaszti MTK 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
6 PTE-PEAC 10 4 4 2 16:13 16
7 MTK Budapest II 9 5 0 4 24:15 15
8 Ivancsa 10 5 0 5 21:21 15
9 Majosi 10 4 3 3 21:21 15
10 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
11 Erdi 10 3 3 4 22:24 12
12 Budaorsi SC 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
13 Paks II 11 1 4 6 20:24 7
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 10 0 0 10 5:42 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)