Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erfurt U19 vs St. Pauli U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Pauli U19 in this DFB Youth League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Pauli U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Erfurt U19
6%
Draws
90%
St. Pauli U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Pauli U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Pauli U19 lately — more wins on the board than Erfurt U19.
  • Win probability leans St. Pauli U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular DFB Youth League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • St. Pauli U19 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Erfurt U19 Clean Sheet 10%
St. Pauli U19 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt U19 St. Pauli U19
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.75 3
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 DFB Youth League
Erfurt U19 vs St. Pauli U19
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 DFB Youth League
St. Pauli U19 vs Erfurt U19
5:0
Apr 30, 2016 Junioren Bundesliga North
St. Pauli U19 vs Erfurt U19
1:0
Nov 28, 2015 Junioren Bundesliga North
Erfurt U19 vs St. Pauli U19
0:3
Apr 12, 2015 Junioren Bundesliga North
St. Pauli U19 vs Erfurt U19
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt U19 10 / 100
St. Pauli U19 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt U19 St. Pauli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erfurt U19's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

St. Pauli U19 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt U19 VS St. Pauli U19
0.75 Goals Scored 3
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt U19

(Home)
23 May
Erfurt U19
0 : 4
Chemnitzer U19
16 May
TSV Havelse U19
1 : 0
Erfurt U19
09 May
Erfurt U19
0 : 1
Borea Dresden U19
02 May
Viktoria Berlin U19
2 : 1
Erfurt U19
25 Apr
Dresden U19
3 : 1
Erfurt U19
Page 1 of 7

St. Pauli U19

(Away)
23 May
Dresden U19
3 : 3
St. Pauli U19
16 May
St. Pauli U19
4 : 0
Viktoria Berlin U19
09 May
Braunschweig U19
2 : 7
St. Pauli U19
03 May
Chemnitzer U19
0 : 0
St. Pauli U19
26 Apr
St. Pauli U19
3 : 1
Borea Dresden U19
Page 1 of 7