Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erfurt vs Aue

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Hajrulla R.
49' Event
Maciejewski T.
(Penalty)
89' Event
Forkel D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Erfurt
35%
Draws
32%
Aue
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Erfurt have won more games recently than Aue.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Erfurt taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 20%
Aue Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt Aue
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.69 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Aue
2:2
Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Aue vs Erfurt
0:0
Jan 16, 2018 Club Friendly
Aue vs Erfurt
0:1
Jan 10, 2018 Club Friendly
Aue vs Erfurt
0:0
Feb 28, 2016 3. Liga
Aue vs Erfurt
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Hajrulla R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forkel D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamm W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt 85 / 100
Aue 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt Aue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erfurt's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Erfurt has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aue has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt VS Aue
3.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt

(Home)
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2
Erfurt
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0
Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5
Erfurt
Page 1 of 6

Aue

(Away)
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2
Aue
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
26 Aug
Aue
0 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)