Sport Picks
Erfurt vs Babelsberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 
Match Events
3'
3'
Tito M.
16'
16'
Ikene S.
73'
73'
Forkel D.
AI Match Summary
Erfurt in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erfurt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erfurt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Erfurt lately — more wins on the board than Babelsberg.
- Model gives Erfurt a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Erfurt have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 19%
Babelsberg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erfurt | Babelsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.79 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Babelsberg
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Babelsberg
4:2
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Erfurt
0:2
Mar 2, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Erfurt
0:2
Oct 2, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Babelsberg
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erfurt Compare
Top Goalscorer Tito M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ikene S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Babelsberg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erfurt 85 / 100
Babelsberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erfurt Babelsberg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Erfurt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erfurt found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Babelsberg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Erfurt has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Erfurt VS Babelsberg
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Erfurt
(Home) 01 Nov
Erfurt
4 : 1 Babelsberg
24 Oct
Greifswalder FC
2 : 3 Erfurt
16 Oct
Erfurt
2 : 2 Zwickau
11 Oct
Chemnitzer
3 : 1 Erfurt
26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4 Erfurt
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Erfurt
4 : 1 Babelsberg
16 Oct
Erfurt
2 : 2 Zwickau
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2 Aue
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0 Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1 BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 4
Babelsberg
(Away) 01 Nov
Erfurt
4 : 1 Babelsberg
23 Oct
Babelsberg
1 : 0 BFC Preussen
16 Oct
SV Tasmania Berlin
6 : 0 Babelsberg
11 Oct
Babelsberg
0 : 0 Lokomotive Leipzig
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3 Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Erfurt
4 : 1 Babelsberg
16 Oct
SV Tasmania Berlin
6 : 0 Babelsberg
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3 Babelsberg
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1 Babelsberg
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0 Babelsberg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 46:19 | 34 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34:12 | 33 |
| 3 | Hallescher | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 30 |
| 4 | BFC Dynamo | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27:20 | 27 |
| 6 | Aue | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:18 | 27 |
| 7 | Jena | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 30:28 | 21 |
| 10 | Magdeburg II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 28:29 | 20 |
| 11 | Zwickau | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17:25 | 19 |
| 12 | Babelsberg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16:27 | 16 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:22 | 14 |
| 14 | Chemie Leipzig | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | 14 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11:26 | 11 |
| 16 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 24:43 | 11 |
| 17 | Rsv Eintracht | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15:34 | 9 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15:35 | 7 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
