Sport Picks
Erfurt vs BFC Preussen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 
Match Events
70'
70'
Vierling L.
76'
76'
Tito M.
87'
87'
Meyer B. F.
AI Match Summary
The Regionalliga Nordost game between Erfurt and BFC Preussen finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erfurt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Erfurt come out ahead of BFC Preussen on wins alone.
- Erfurt are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 14%
BFC Preussen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erfurt | BFC Preussen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.79 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs BFC Preussen
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs BFC Preussen
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Preussen vs Erfurt
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erfurt Compare
Top Goalscorer Tito M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
BFC Preussen Compare
Top Goalscorer Vierling L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erfurt 57 / 100
BFC Preussen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erfurt BFC Preussen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Erfurt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erfurt found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
BFC Preussen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Erfurt went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Erfurt VS BFC Preussen
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Erfurt
(Home) 01 Nov
Erfurt
4 : 1 Babelsberg
24 Oct
Greifswalder FC
2 : 3 Erfurt
16 Oct
Erfurt
2 : 2 Zwickau
11 Oct
Chemnitzer
3 : 1 Erfurt
26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4 Erfurt
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Erfurt
4 : 1 Babelsberg
16 Oct
Erfurt
2 : 2 Zwickau
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2 Aue
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0 Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1 BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 4
BFC Preussen
(Away) 31 Oct
BFC Preussen
3 : 0 Zwickau
23 Oct
Babelsberg
1 : 0 BFC Preussen
17 Oct
BFC Preussen
1 : 3 Altglienicke
10 Oct
BFC Preussen
1 : 1 Hertha Berlin II
26 Sept
Hallescher
3 : 2 BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Babelsberg
1 : 0 BFC Preussen
26 Sept
Hallescher
3 : 2 BFC Preussen
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2 BFC Preussen
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1 BFC Preussen
25 Aug
BFC Dynamo
2 : 0 BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 48:19 | 37 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34:12 | 33 |
| 3 | Hallescher | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 25:14 | 31 |
| 4 | Altglienicke | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 32:20 | 30 |
| 5 | BFC Dynamo | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 6 | Jena | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Aue | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:18 | 27 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 30:28 | 21 |
| 10 | Magdeburg II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 28:29 | 20 |
| 11 | Zwickau | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17:25 | 19 |
| 12 | Babelsberg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16:27 | 16 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 14 | Chemie Leipzig | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:25 | 14 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11:26 | 11 |
| 16 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24:48 | 11 |
| 17 | Rsv Eintracht | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15:34 | 9 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 17:37 | 8 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
