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Erfurt vs BFC Preussen

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Vierling L.
76' Event
Tito M.
87'
Meyer B. F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Erfurt and BFC Preussen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Erfurt
30%
Draws
9%
BFC Preussen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erfurt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erfurt come out ahead of BFC Preussen on wins alone.
  • Erfurt are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 20%
BFC Preussen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt BFC Preussen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.57 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs BFC Preussen
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs BFC Preussen
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Preussen vs Erfurt
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Tito M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

BFC Preussen Compare

Top Goalscorer Vierling L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt 85 / 100
BFC Preussen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt BFC Preussen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erfurt found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

BFC Preussen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Erfurt has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt VS BFC Preussen
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt

(Home)
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5
Erfurt
15 Aug
Erfurt
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
09 Aug
Jena
1 : 2
Erfurt
05 Aug
Erfurt
6 : 0
SV Tasmania Berlin
Page 1 of 6

BFC Preussen

(Away)
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
25 Aug
BFC Dynamo
2 : 0
BFC Preussen
15 Aug
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
Greifswalder FC
09 Aug
Aue
2 : 1
BFC Preussen
05 Aug
BFC Preussen
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 7 5 2 0 23:5 17
2 Chemnitzer 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
3 Aue 7 4 2 1 13:10 14
4 Magdeburg II 7 4 1 2 17:12 13
5 Zwickau 7 4 1 2 8:9 13
6 Greifswalder FC 7 3 3 1 15:10 12
7 Altglienicke 6 3 3 0 14:9 12
8 BFC Dynamo 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
9 Jena 6 3 1 2 9:5 10
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 7 3 1 3 13:13 10
11 Hallescher 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
12 Rsv Eintracht 7 1 3 3 11:15 6
13 Babelsberg 7 1 2 4 9:12 5
14 Hertha Berlin II 7 1 2 4 5:15 5
15 SV Tasmania Berlin 6 1 1 4 8:20 4
16 BFC Preussen 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
17 Luckenwalde 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
18 Chemie Leipzig 7 0 2 5 2:9 2
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)