Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erfurt vs Hannover II

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erfurt play Hannover II in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Erfurt averaged 2.46 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Hannover II averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Erfurt won 1, Hannover II won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Erfurt and 1.44 for Hannover II. This points to a Hannover II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Erfurt
24%
Draws
38%
Hannover II
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Hannover II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Erfurt picked up more points recently compared to Hannover II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 16%
Hannover II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt Hannover II
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.46 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Hannover II
5:1
Jul 5, 2019 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Hannover II
0:2
Jul 9, 2011 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Hannover II
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt 37 / 100
Hannover II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt Hannover II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hannover II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Erfurt attacking → ← attacking Hannover II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erfurt scored in 88% of their last 26 games.

Hannover II let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Erfurt went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hannover II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 48
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13