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Erith & Belvedere vs Punjab United

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erith & Belvedere play Punjab United in the Club Friendly 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Erith & Belvedere averaged 1 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. Punjab United averaged 1.46 goals scored and 3.69 conceded. In past meetings, Erith & Belvedere won 1, Punjab United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 7, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Erith & Belvedere and 1.31 for Punjab United. This points to a Erith & Belvedere double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Erith & Belvedere
21%
Draws
28%
Punjab United
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Erith & Belvedere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Erith & Belvedere picked up more points recently compared to Punjab United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Erith & Belvedere Clean Sheet 18%
Punjab United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erith & Belvedere Punjab United
Matches Played 21 13
Wins 3 2
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.71 3.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Erith & Belvedere vs Punjab United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erith & Belvedere Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Punjab United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aderonmu T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erith & Belvedere 50 / 100
Punjab United 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erith & Belvedere Punjab United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Erith & Belvedere or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Erith & Belvedere attacking → ← attacking Punjab United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erith & Belvedere scored in 62% of their last 21 games.

Punjab United let in goals in 92% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Erith & Belvedere went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Punjab United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 8
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50