Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erith Town vs Deal Town

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026
Sat, Sep 6, 2025
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deal Town in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Erith Town
15%
Draws
42%
Deal Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erith Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deal Town lately — more wins on the board than Erith Town.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Deal Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Deal Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Erith Town Clean Sheet 15%
Deal Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erith Town Deal Town
Matches Played 15 27
Wins 3 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 FA Trophy
Erith Town vs Deal Town
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erith Town 31 / 100
Deal Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erith Town Deal Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deal Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deal Town let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Erith Town's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Deal Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erith Town VS Deal Town
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erith Town

(Home)
12 Sept
Erith Town
2 : 0
Eastbourne Town
05 Sept
SE Dons
2 : 0
Erith Town
29 Aug
Erith Town
2 : 1
Cray Valley
06 Sept
Erith Town
1 : 2
Deal Town
30 Aug
Erith Town
0 : 3
Farnham
Page 1 of 3

Deal Town

(Away)
12 Sept
Deal Town
3 : 0
Sheppey United
29 Aug
Binfield
2 : 4
Deal Town
21 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 1
Deal Town
27 Sept
Chatham
3 : 1
Deal Town
20 Sept
Deal Town
2 : 3
Ashford United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Congleton Town 3
Vauxhall 1
Avro 1
Clitheroe 3
Bootle 2
Witton Albion 3
Dunston 4
Brighouse Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Stockton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 2
Trafford 0
Pontefract Collieries 0
Lower Breck 2
Silsden 1
Atherton Collieries 0
Ossett United 1
Nantwich 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
Runcorn Linnets 2
Garforth 1
Wythenshawe Town 1
Bury FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morpeth -
Widnes FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Bridlington Town 1
Mossley AFC 0
North Ferriby FC 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Bradford PA 2
Redcar Athletic 1
Consett 4
Hallam 0
Heaton Stannington 2
AFC Emley 0
Newton Aycliffe 3
Blyth Town 0
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hebburn Town -
Prescot Cables -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 1
Chasetown 0
Long Eaton 2
Carlton Town 3
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1
Neots 0
Stafford 1
Boldmere St Michaels 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spalding United -
Bedworth United 1
Darlaston Town (1874) 0
Shepshed 0
Anstey Nomads 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lichfield City 1
Corby 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Coleshill Town 1
Sporting Khalsa 0
Bourne 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Coventry Sphinx 0
Lincoln Utd. 2
Malvern Town 5
Loughborough Students 1
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rugby 4
Racing Club Warwick 1
Belper Town 2
Newcastle Town 1
Matlock 3
Grimsby Borough 0
Mickleover 2
Basford Utd. 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stanway Rovers 4
Aylesbury United 0
Stotfold 0
Mildenhall 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Uxbridge -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays 2
Milton Keynes Irish 1
Hertford Town 1
Felixstowe & Walton 3
Westfield 4
Margate 2
Bognor Regis 3
Sevenoaks 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentwood -
Leatherhead 4
Raynes Park Vale 0
Kingstonian 1
Merstham 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
South Park 1
Broadbridge Heath 2
Bedfont Sports 1
Horndean 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Ware 1
Hadley 5
Ascot United 2
Three Bridges 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Harrow Borough 1
Eastbourne Town 0
Jersey Bulls 3
Hastings 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Cambridge City 3
FC Witham Town 3
Newmarket 2
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Cray Valley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Sudbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Takeley 0
Welwyn Garden 2
London Lions 0
Tilbury 3
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town 4
Binfield 3
VCD Athletic 1
Rayners Lane 0
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Erith Town 1
Deal Town 2
Herne Bay 0
Ashford United 3
Concord Rangers 2
Biggleswade FC 3
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police 0
Southall FC 1
Whyteleafe 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Hassocks 1
Crowborough 3
Sittingbourne 2
Faversham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag -
Redbridge 1
Waltham Abbey 4
Lowestoft 2
Leverstock Green 0
Walthamstow FC 3
Dowham Town FC 2
Brightlingsea 0
Leighton Town 3
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Northwood 0
Beckenham Town 1
Littlehampton 1
Hendon 2
Enfield FC 1
Wroxham 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
AFC Dunstable 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Bracknell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Shaftesbury Town 2
Brixham 0
Falmouth Town 4
Hartpury University 2
Didcot 1
Portishead Town 4
Melksham 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Dorchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Exmouth Town 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
Bideford 3
Mousehole 1
Moneyfields 2
Thame United 3
Winchester City 2
Frome Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Fareham 4
Beaconsfield Town 1
Willand Rovers 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Portchester 1
Flackwell Heath 0
Tavistock 2
Larkhall 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Chichester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnham -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Wimborne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Semi-finals
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
FC Congleton Town 1
Clitheroe 3
Witton Albion 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Stockton -
TBD -
Stalybridge 0
Lower Breck 3
Silsden 3
Nantwich 0
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
Runcorn Linnets 7
Bury FC 0
TBD -
Morpeth -
Widnes FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Bridlington Town 2
North Ferriby FC 0
TBD -
Guiseley -
Bradford PA 2
Consett 0
Heaton Stannington 4
Newton Aycliffe 0
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
Hebburn Town -
Prescot Cables -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 2
Carlton Town 1
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 4
Stafford 3
TBD -
Stratford -
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Spalding United -
Bedworth United 0
Anstey Nomads 3
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Quorn -
TBD -
Corby 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Coleshill Town 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4
Lincoln Utd. 0
Malvern Town 2
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Worcester -
TBD -
Rugby 3
Belper Town 2
Matlock 1
Basford Utd. 2
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stanway Rovers 3
Mildenhall 0
TBD -
Uxbridge -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
Grays 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Westfield 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
Brentwood -
Leatherhead 2
Kingstonian 0
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Broadbridge Heath 2
Bedfont Sports 1
TBD -
Billericay -
Hadley 3
Ascot United 2
TBD -
Dartford -
Harrow Borough 4
Jersey Bulls 0
Cambridge City 3
FC Witham Town 4
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Cray Valley -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Sudbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 2
Tilbury 3
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town 1
VCD Athletic 2
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Deal Town 2
Ashford United 3
Biggleswade FC 3
Hitchin 1
Hayes & Yeading 5
Southall FC 1
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Crowborough 1
Sittingbourne 6
TBD -
Hashtag -
Waltham Abbey 4
Lowestoft 1
Walthamstow FC 5
Leighton Town 3
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
Beckenham Town 2
Hendon 5
Enfield FC 1
AFC Dunstable 3
TBD -
Folkestone -
Bracknell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Shaftesbury Town 3
Falmouth Town 2
Hartpury University 4
Portishead Town 2
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Dorchester -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 1
Bideford 2
Thame United 3
Winchester City 1
TBD -
Banbury -
Fareham 2
Bishops Cleeve 4
TBD -
Sholing -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Portchester 3
Tavistock 0
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Chichester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnham -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Wimborne -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Final
Hyde 1
Warrington Town 0
Ashton United 1
Clitheroe 2
Dunston 2
Warrington Rylands 1
Workington 0
United of Manchester 2
Stockton 2
Lower Breck 0
Silsden 1
Stocksbridge 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Morpeth 2
Widnes FC 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Bridlington Town 2
Guiseley 4
Bradford PA 2
Heaton Stannington 1
Whitby 1
Hebburn Town 2
Prescot Cables 2
Lancaster 0
Evesham 0
Ilkeston 2
Gainsborough 3
Shifnal Town 2
Barwell 0
Bromsgrove 3
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1
Stratford 2
Rushall 0
Spalding United 2
Anstey Nomads 3
Stourbridge 2
Quorn 2
Corby 3
Real Bedford 3
Stamford 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Malvern Town 1
Halesowen 1
Leek Town 2
St Ives Town 1
Kettering 0
Worcester 3
Rugby 2
Basford Utd. 0
Alvechurch 1
Harborough 2
Hednesford 0
Cleethorpes 0
Redditch 1
Stanway Rovers 1
Uxbridge 0
Royston Town 0
Welling 3
Hanwell Town 2
Grays 1
Westfield 1
Brentwood 2
Leatherhead 4
Ramsgate 1
Aveley 0
St. Albans 2
Carshalton 1
Cheshunt 2
Broadbridge Heath 1
Billericay 3
Hadley 2
Dartford 1
Harrow Borough 3
FC Witham Town 1
Lewes 1
Leiston 2
Cray Valley 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Sudbury 4
Bury Town 0
Chertsey Town 1
Tilbury 2
Burgess Hill 2
Potters 1
Stortford 4
Cray Wanderers 0
Wingate & Finchley 4
VCD Athletic 1
Chatham 1
Needham Market 0
Ashford United 4
Biggleswade FC 3
Hayes & Yeading 0
Walton & Hersham 1
Sittingbourne 1
Hashtag 0
Waltham Abbey 6
Walthamstow FC 0
Whitehawk 0
Canvey Island 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Hendon 1
AFC Dunstable 1
Folkestone 3
Bracknell Town 6
Hungerford 3
Basingstoke 2
Shaftesbury Town 1
Hartpury University 0
Gloucester City 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Gosport Borough 2
Dorchester 4
Bideford 0
Thame United 0
Banbury 2
Bishops Cleeve 2
Sholing 1
Yate 1
Poole Town 2
Portchester 2
Taunton Town 1
Chichester City 2
Farnham 4
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Tiverton 2
Wimborne 2
Weymouth 0