Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026

Morocco

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eritrea host Morocco in the World Championship 2026. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Eritrea have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Morocco's 1.97 scored and 0.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Eritrea slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.04, favoring Morocco. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Eritrea

15%

Draws

54%

Morocco

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Morocco lately — more wins on the board than Eritrea.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%

Eritrea Clean Sheet 20%

Morocco Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Eritrea	Morocco
Matches Played	16	29
Wins	5	23
Draws	2	5
Losses	9	1
Goals Scored	0.88	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.45
Expected Goals (xG)	0.85	1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 World Championship

Eritrea vs Morocco

0:0

Nov 16, 2023 World Championship

Morocco vs Eritrea

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eritrea 32 / 100

Morocco 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Eritrea Morocco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Eritrea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Eritrea scored in 44% of their last 16 games.

Morocco let in goals in 34% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Eritrea VS Morocco

1.33 Goals Scored 1.75

0.33 Goals Conceded 0.38

67% Over 1.5 75%

33% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eritrea

(Home)

31 Mar

Eswatini

1 : 2

Eritrea

25 Mar

Eritrea

2 : 0

Eswatini

28 May

Eritrea

0 : 1

Niger

26 May

Eritrea

0 : 0

Niger

03 Nov

Eritrea

0 : 3

Ethiopia

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Morocco

(Away)

09 Jul

France

2 : 0

Morocco

04 Jul

Canada

0 : 3

Morocco

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

24 Jun

Morocco

4 : 2

Haiti

19 Jun

Scotland

0 : 1

Morocco

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