Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eritrea vs Niger

World World

Friendly International 2025 Cicero Stadium, Asmara
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Abdourahmane M.

AI Match Summary

Niger in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Niger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Eritrea
35%
Draws
19%
Niger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Eritrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Niger lately — more wins on the board than Eritrea.
  • Win probability leans Eritrea's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Eritrea Clean Sheet 20%
Niger Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eritrea Niger
Matches Played 16 26
Wins 5 6
Draws 2 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.88 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2025 Friendly International
Eritrea vs Niger
0:1
May 26, 2025 Friendly International
Eritrea vs Niger
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 World Championship
Niger vs Eritrea
0:0
Jun 8, 2024 World Championship
Eritrea vs Niger
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eritrea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.46

Niger Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdourahmane M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eritrea 67 / 100
Niger 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eritrea Niger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eritrea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eritrea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Eritrea scored in 44% of their last 16 games.

Niger has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Eritrea VS Niger
0.57 Goals Scored 1
0.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
29% Over 1.5 50%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eritrea

(Home)
31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2
Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0
Eswatini
28 May
Eritrea
0 : 1
Niger
26 May
Eritrea
0 : 0
Niger
03 Nov
Eritrea
0 : 3
Ethiopia
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Niger

(Away)
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
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