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Stadium Background

Eritrea vs Rwanda

World World

Friendly International 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rwanda in this Friendly International 2007 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rwanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Eritrea
39%
Draws
31%
Rwanda
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Rwanda have won more games recently than Eritrea.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Eritrea Clean Sheet 20%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eritrea Rwanda
Matches Played 16 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2013 CECAFA Championship
Rwanda vs Eritrea
1:0
Dec 2, 2012 CECAFA Championship
Eritrea vs Rwanda
0:2
Nov 15, 2011 World Championship
Rwanda vs Eritrea
3:1
Nov 11, 2011 World Championship
Eritrea vs Rwanda
1:1
Mar 28, 2010 African Nations Championship
Rwanda vs Eritrea
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eritrea 31 / 100
Rwanda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eritrea Rwanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rwanda conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Eritrea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Eritrea scored in 44% of their last 16 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eritrea VS Rwanda
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Eritrea

(Home)
31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2
Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0
Eswatini
28 May
Eritrea
0 : 1
Niger
26 May
Eritrea
0 : 0
Niger
03 Nov
Eritrea
0 : 3
Ethiopia
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Rwanda

(Away)
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0
Rwanda
10 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 1
Benin
09 Sept
Zimbabwe
0 : 1
Rwanda
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