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Eritrea vs Tanzania

World World

World Championship 2026
Sat, Oct 11, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eritrea host Tanzania in the World Championship 2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Eritrea at 0.88 goals for, 1.38 against; Tanzania at 1 for, 1.04 against. Head-to-head, Eritrea have won 0 to Tanzania's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.03 vs 0.45, favoring Tanzania. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Eritrea
30%
Draws
29%
Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eritrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanzania come out ahead of Eritrea on wins alone.
  • Eritrea are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Eritrea Clean Sheet 20%
Tanzania Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eritrea Tanzania
Matches Played 16 26
Wins 5 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 0.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 World Championship
Eritrea vs Tanzania
0:0
Jun 5, 2024 World Championship
Tanzania vs Eritrea
0:0
Dec 8, 2009 Friendly International
Tanzania vs Eritrea
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eritrea 36 / 100
Tanzania 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eritrea Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tanzania conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Eritrea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Eritrea scored in 44% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Eritrea VS Tanzania
0.57 Goals Scored 0.75
0.14 Goals Conceded 1.5
29% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Eritrea

(Home)
31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2
Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0
Eswatini
28 May
Eritrea
0 : 1
Niger
26 May
Eritrea
0 : 0
Niger
03 Nov
Eritrea
0 : 3
Ethiopia
Page 1 of 4

Tanzania

(Away)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
04 Jan
Morocco
1 : 0
Tanzania
30 Dec
Tanzania
1 : 1
Tunisia
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 10 8 2 0 20:2 26
2 Burkina Faso 10 6 3 1 23:8 21
3 Sierra Leone 10 4 3 3 12:10 15
4 Guinea Bissau 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
5 Ethiopia 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
6 Djibouti 10 0 1 9 5:33 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 10 7 3 0 22:3 24
2 D.R. Congo 10 7 1 2 15:6 22
3 Sudan 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Togo 10 1 5 4 5:10 8
5 Mauritania 10 1 4 5 4:13 7
6 South Sudan 10 0 5 5 3:19 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 10 5 3 2 15:9 18
2 Nigeria 10 4 5 1 15:8 17
3 Benin 10 5 2 3 12:11 17
4 Lesotho 10 3 3 4 9:12 12
5 Rwanda 10 3 2 5 5:9 11
6 Zimbabwe 10 0 5 5 5:12 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 10 7 2 1 16:8 23
2 Cameroon 10 5 4 1 17:5 19
3 Libya 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
4 Angola 10 2 6 2 9:8 12
5 Mauritius 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
6 Eswatini 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 8 8 0 0 22:2 24
2 Niger 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
3 Tanzania 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
4 Zambia 8 3 0 5 10:10 9
5 Congo 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
6 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 10 8 2 0 25:0 26
2 Gabon 10 8 1 1 22:9 25
3 Gambia 10 4 1 5 27:18 13
4 Kenya 10 3 3 4 18:14 12
5 Burundi 10 3 1 6 13:13 10
6 Seychelles 10 0 0 10 2:53 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 10 8 1 1 24:8 25
2 Uganda 10 6 0 4 14:9 18
3 Mozambique 10 6 0 4 14:17 18
4 Guinea 10 4 3 3 11:8 15
5 Botswana 10 3 1 6 12:16 10
6 Somalia 10 0 1 9 3:20 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia 10 9 1 0 22:0 28
2 Namibia 10 4 3 3 13:10 15
3 Liberia 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Malawi 10 4 1 5 11:10 13
5 Equatorial Guinea 10 3 2 5 8:15 11
6 Sao Tome and Principe 10 1 0 9 5:26 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana 10 8 1 1 23:6 25
2 Madagascar 10 6 1 3 17:12 19
3 Mali 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
4 Comoros 10 5 0 5 12:13 15
5 Central Africa 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
6 Chad 10 0 1 9 5:24 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)