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Stadium Background

Erkenschwick vs ASC 09 Dortmund

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erkenschwick play ASC 09 Dortmund in the Oberliga Westfalen. It looks like a close match. Recently, Erkenschwick averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. ASC 09 Dortmund averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Erkenschwick won 2, ASC 09 Dortmund won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Erkenschwick and 1.75 for ASC 09 Dortmund. This points to a ASC 09 Dortmund double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Erkenschwick
23%
Draws
48%
ASC 09 Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: ASC 09 Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Erkenschwick picked up more points recently compared to ASC 09 Dortmund.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Erkenschwick Clean Sheet 12%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erkenschwick ASC 09 Dortmund
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.43 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs ASC 09 Dortmund
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Erkenschwick
2:4
Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs ASC 09 Dortmund
0:5
Nov 10, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Erkenschwick
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs ASC 09 Dortmund
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erkenschwick 29 / 100
ASC 09 Dortmund 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erkenschwick ASC 09 Dortmund

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ASC 09 Dortmund or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Erkenschwick attacking → ← attacking ASC 09 Dortmund

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erkenschwick scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

ASC 09 Dortmund let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Erkenschwick went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

ASC 09 Dortmund lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 57
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Westfalia Rhynern36257496:3882
2SG Wattenscheid362311278:2880
3ASC 09 Dortmund36229581:4175
4Lippstadt362010663:2970
5Preussen Munster 2362151080:4968
6Gievenbeck361481461:5650
7Arminia Bielefeld II3613101357:5749
8Clarholz3612101454:6346
9Eintracht Rheine3611111453:6344
10Verl II361191651:6442
11Schermbeck 20203610101653:6040
12Sprockhovel361171859:6940
13Erkenschwick3610101648:6740
14Vreden361161952:6839
15TUS Ennepetal361152044:7538
16Hiltrup369101742:5737
17Ahlen36972042:7734
18Finnentrop/Bamenohl36891951:8733
19Turkspor Dortmund361242060:7731