Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erlangen vs Gebenbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 game between Erlangen and Gebenbach finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gebenbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Erlangen
15%
Draws
64%
Gebenbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gebenbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Gebenbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gebenbach a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Erlangen Clean Sheet 14%
Gebenbach Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erlangen Gebenbach
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 8 28
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.95
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Gebenbach
0:2
Aug 18, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Erlangen
2:0
Apr 21, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Erlangen
1:2
Sep 24, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Gebenbach
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erlangen 10 / 100
Gebenbach 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erlangen Gebenbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gebenbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erlangen found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Gebenbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 41 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Erlangen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erlangen VS Gebenbach
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Erlangen

(Home)
02 Jul
Erlangen
1 : 1
Ansbach
14 Feb
Stadeln
1 : 3
Erlangen
17 Feb
Ansbach
5 : 1
Erlangen
25 Jan
Furth II
6 : 0
Erlangen
21 Aug
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Erlangen
Page 1 of 6

Gebenbach

(Away)
22 Aug
DJK Ammerthal
1 : 3
Gebenbach
18 Aug
Gebenbach
3 : 1
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
14 Aug
Cham
0 : 1
Gebenbach
07 Aug
Gebenbach
1 : 2
Bamberg
31 Jul
Neudrossenfeld
0 : 1
Gebenbach
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TSV Aubstadt 34 24 4 6 83:27 76
2 Gebenbach 34 22 7 5 83:42 73
3 Wurzburger FV 34 20 6 8 67:39 66
4 Grossbardorf 34 20 5 9 67:39 65
5 SV Seligenporten 34 18 8 8 69:50 62
6 Eltersdorf 34 15 8 11 56:45 53
7 Bayern Hof 34 14 7 13 54:45 49
8 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 14 6 14 44:39 48
9 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 14 6 14 60:69 48
10 Abtswind 34 13 6 15 59:67 45
11 Ansbach 34 11 10 13 68:77 43
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 6 17 51:52 39
13 ATSV Erlangen 34 11 6 17 43:60 39
14 1. FC Sand 34 10 5 19 42:66 35
15 Vach 34 10 3 21 45:76 33
16 Erlangen 34 9 4 21 53:74 31
17 Jahn Forchheim 34 8 6 20 58:86 30
18 ASV Neumarkt 34 7 7 20 35:84 28
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2019/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)