Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erlangen vs Vach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
Erlangen Logo

Erlangen

0 - 2
FT
Vach Logo

Vach

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 game between Erlangen and Vach finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Erlangen
20%
Draws
40%
Vach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vach's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Erlangen Clean Sheet 10%
Vach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erlangen Vach
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.33 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Vach
0:2
Aug 5, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Vach vs Erlangen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erlangen 14 / 100
Vach 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erlangen Vach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vach conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Erlangen found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Vach lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erlangen VS Vach
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erlangen

(Home)
02 Jul
Erlangen
1 : 1
Ansbach
14 Feb
Stadeln
1 : 3
Erlangen
17 Feb
Ansbach
5 : 1
Erlangen
25 Jan
Furth II
6 : 0
Erlangen
21 Aug
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Erlangen
Page 1 of 6

Vach

(Away)
18 May
ATSV Erlangen
4 : 1
Vach
11 May
Vach
1 : 2
Bayern Hof
04 May
Wurzburger FV
3 : 3
Vach
28 Apr
Vach
0 : 3
Gebenbach
22 Apr
Ansbach
1 : 3
Vach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TSV Aubstadt 34 24 4 6 83:27 76
2 Gebenbach 34 22 7 5 83:42 73
3 Wurzburger FV 34 20 6 8 67:39 66
4 Grossbardorf 34 20 5 9 67:39 65
5 SV Seligenporten 34 18 8 8 69:50 62
6 Eltersdorf 34 15 8 11 56:45 53
7 Bayern Hof 34 14 7 13 54:45 49
8 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 14 6 14 44:39 48
9 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 14 6 14 60:69 48
10 Abtswind 34 13 6 15 59:67 45
11 Ansbach 34 11 10 13 68:77 43
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 6 17 51:52 39
13 ATSV Erlangen 34 11 6 17 43:60 39
14 1. FC Sand 34 10 5 19 42:66 35
15 Vach 34 10 3 21 45:76 33
16 Erlangen 34 9 4 21 53:74 31
17 Jahn Forchheim 34 8 6 20 58:86 30
18 ASV Neumarkt 34 7 7 20 35:84 28
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2019/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)