Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erlensee vs Hanau

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

80'
Franek S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Erlensee
15%
Draws
42%
Hanau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erlensee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erlensee lately — more wins on the board than Hanau.
  • Model gives Erlensee a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Erlensee Clean Sheet 20%
Hanau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erlensee Hanau
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 3
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 23
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Erlensee vs Hanau
4:0
May 25, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Hanau
0:0
Nov 22, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Hanau vs Erlensee
1:3
May 20, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Hanau
4:1
Oct 29, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Hanau vs Erlensee
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erlensee 85 / 100
Hanau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erlensee Hanau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erlensee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hanau has conceded goals in 94% of their last 34 outings.

Erlensee found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Hanau registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hanau
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erlensee

(Home)
25 Jan
Erlensee
0 : 4
Aschaffenburg
16 Jul
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Erlensee
03 Jul
Erlensee
4 : 0
Hanau
27 Jun
Erlensee
1 : 5
Hanauer SC
01 Jun
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Erlensee
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Hanau

(Away)
30 May
Hanau
3 : 2
Giessen
23 May
RW Walldorf
7 : 0
Hanau
16 May
Hanau
1 : 5
Darmstadt U21
09 May
Turk Gucu Friedberg
3 : 0
Hanau
01 May
Hanau
0 : 4
Eintracht Frankfurt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giessen 34 22 7 5 69:28 73
2 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 23 5 6 93:42 71
3 Baunatal 34 20 7 7 70:43 67
4 Alzenau 34 19 6 9 72:40 63
5 Hanauer SC 34 19 3 12 70:55 57
6 Eddersheim 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 Hunfelder 34 16 6 12 67:62 54
8 Fernwald 34 15 5 14 64:55 50
9 Weidenhausen 34 14 8 12 62:56 50
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 7 14 62:63 46
11 Waldgirmes 34 11 7 16 48:76 40
12 Stadtallendorf 34 10 9 15 53:54 39
13 Hanau 34 9 7 18 56:78 34
14 VfB Marburg 34 9 7 18 46:71 34
15 SV Steinbach 34 7 12 15 46:69 33
16 Viktoria Griesheim 34 8 9 17 39:71 33
17 Erlensee 34 7 6 21 42:71 27
18 TUS Dietkirchen 34 6 6 22 49:85 24
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)